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Global South

Global South
Mon, 26 Feb 2024 15:25:39 +0000

1. Yemen’s fearless escalation


Yemen's fearless escalation

Ansarullah challenge Egypt's compliance with Israeli Gaza aid curbs

By Abdel Bari Atwan at Rai Al Youm

While many Arab governments that possess hundreds of tanks and warplanes have been passively watching Israel's genocidal war on Gaza, the Yemeni government in Sanaa — though exhausted by eight years of war and suffocating blockade — has taken the lead in acting to oppose it.

Yemeni naval forces responded to Israel's criminal escalation in the Gaza Strip with a parallel escalation first targeting Israeli-linked commercial shipping, and then the US and UK warships deployed to protect it. The two countries' threats and their repeated airstrikes on Yemen, including the capital, failed to intimidate the Yemeni leadership or people. They had the opposite effect, prompting an intensification of attacks on ships that do not comply with instructions in the Red and Arabian seas, and then missile strikes on the Israeli-held port of Umm al-Rashrash (Eilat) last Thursday.

On Friday, Abdelmalek al-Houthi, spiritual leader of Yemen's Ansarullah movement, gave a fiery speech to millions of marchers who have been taking to the streets of Yemeni cities every week in solidarity with the Palestinian people and resistance groups in the Gaza Strip and West Bank. He affirmed that Yemeni naval and land forces would step up their actions in the Red Sea and also introduce their submarine force into the conflict. He hinted that plans were in place for future actions and surprise moves which he could not disclose.

On Thursday, Yemeni military spokesman Yahya Sarie had announced three further operations: a missile strike on a British-owned cargo ship in the Gulf of Aden which set it on fire; the targeting of a US destroyer; and a missile and drone barrage against Eilat that sent thousands of Israeli settlers scurrying into shelters.

History will record with awe this Yemeni courage at a time of Arab silence and collusion, and how the Yemenis dared cross the reddest of red lines by taking action against the warships of the two mightiest empires in modern times: Britain, whose sun has set but remains a powerful force, and the US superpower that wields an arsenal of thousands of nuclear weapons.

The Yemeni armed forces' next step could be to 'punish' the Western powers that have been 'punishing' various regional actors for supporting the Palestinian. That may entail moving the battle from the Red and Arabian seas to the coastal waters of occupied Palestine.

That was hinted at by leading Ansarullah figure Ali al-Houthi in his response to Egyptian spokesman Dia Rashwan's attempt to justify Egypt's failure to force open the Rafah border crossing to allow in thousands of aid trucks to provide relief to Gaza's starving children. Rashwan had explained that Israel would bombard any trucks that tried to enter the Gaza Strip without its permission.

Ali al-Houthi's riposte was, verbatim: "We are willing to send people to escort the trucks and transporters taking food, humanitarian, and medical aid into the Gaza Strip. We have much proven experience in this regard gained during the eight-year war when aid was delivered under bombardment."

The Egyptian authorities are unlikely to take up this proposal, which is hugely embarrassing for them and exposes their collusion in Israel's policy of starving the Gaza Strip's more than two million inhabitants. But it has at least served to call them out and publicly challenge their lame excuses for inaction.

The fearlessness of the Yemenis is legendary. Having defied the US and UK's armadas, and humiliated Israel by closing the Bab al-Mandeb straight to its shipping without it daring to retaliate, I wouldn't be surprised if they send their own aid shipments towards Gaza and challenge the Egyptian authorities to let them in via Rafah.

The Yemenis are masters of the impressive surprise. They act as they say, and do as they threaten. I fully expect they will match the Afghans and Vietnamese in giving the US a taste of defeat, one that may be the beginning of the end of its military presence in the region.

The flourishing Iran-Russia alliance

The US is paying the price for its strategic short-sightedness

By Abdel Bari Atwan at Rai Al Youm

Russia is making military and economic advances in the Middle East, while the US is in rapid retreat in most of the region's countries.

This is not only due to the cleverness of its foes, especially the Russians, but to its own stupidity: its arrogance and short-sightedness, and placing all its strategic eggs in the basket of the Israeli occupation state. This is now entangling it in wars – especially in Yemen and Iraq — that could result in the foreseeable future in its military bases being dismantled and its forces and fleets ignominiously exiting the region.

The US' biggest failure lies in the way the blockades and sanctions it zealously imposes on several states in the region — especially Iran but also to a lesser extent Syria and Yemen — are backfiring.

Iran has succeeded in breaking the embargo imposed on it by developing its domestic military and civilian industries and scientific and technological expertise, including a nuclear programme that enables it to build nuclear weapons in a matter of weeks should its self-imposed prohibition of such a step be lifted.

On Thursday, Reuters news agency, citing six separate sources, reported that Iran was supplying Russia with guided ballistic missiles from the Fateh-110 family, such as the road-mobile Zolfaghar which can hit targets from a distance of 300 to 700 kilometres. Its sources said around 400 missiles had already been sent to Russia by air or by ship via the Caspian Sea, and more would be delivered in the coming few weeks.

This cooperation between two countries subject to draconian US sanctions naturally worries the Biden administration and its Western allies, especially at a time when Russia is making major gains in the Ukraine war that enable it to consolidate its control over the four annexed eastern provinces and Crimea.

Because of the US embargo and sanctions, Iran made its mind up from day one of the Ukraine war and chose to side with Russia — not just verbally, but in practice. It sold the Russian army drones that are considered among the most sophisticated in the world, and is now coming to its ally's aid by supplying it with smart missiles to replenish its stocks.

Meanwhile, Iran's paramilitary allies are doing Russia a great service by engaging the US in costly military and economic wars of attrition. Yemeni naval forces now hit out at US warships in the Red Sea and Arabia Sea on an almost daily basis, while Iraq's Hashd ash-Shaabi assumes the task of striking US bases in Iraq and Syria — and maybe Jordan next.

This growing military cooperation between Iran and Russia is unlikely to be a one-way street. In exchange for its arms supplies, Iran will almost certainly be provided with top-of-the-line Russian military and civilian, possibly including nuclear, technology.

The Iranian-Russian alliance has borne fruit in the form of successes in the Ukraine war, while the US-Israeli alliance has only reaped a succession of failures and defeats: in the Gaza Strip, and — coming soon — in Yemen, Lebanon, and Iraq. Just wait and see.

Global South
Mon, 26 Feb 2024 13:28:35 +0000

2. Daily Chronicles … Open Thread Feb 26


Apparently, the theme this week is "early Springtime in the Kiev bunker…"

🔹Dear Authors, until the return of Amarynth, please contact me directly to post articles; my email: AHHfrican@protonmail.com Thanks!

🔹Please let us know if you hear from dear Amarynth.  We've started a Salon thread to share approaches: https://globalsouth.co/globalsouthforum/topic/amarynth-and-future-of-globalsouth-co/

🔹Pl share news from West Asia as I am having less time lately focused on main site and family/work life: https://globalsouth.co/globalsouthforum/topic/west-asia-front-thread-20-feb-2024/

Feb 26

@DDGeopolitics:
🔹🇺🇦🇬🇧 Zelensky's handler and drug dealer and the butcher of Ukrainians met in Kiev yesterday. [see the header of this Daily Chronicles, of BoJo and Yermak … they are really pulling out the stops to prevent the effluvium from ceasing to circle the drain! Springtime in Berlin Kiev is upon us]

🔹🇩🇪🇺🇦 Ukrainian all-inclusive: during a visit to Odessa, Annalena Baerbock had to sit in a bomb shelter for almost 20 minutes because of an air raid
🔹🇺🇦🤣We need to support Ukraine now, and not "until the end", because the end can come very quickly – Zelensky  [from the mouth of Babes!]

🔹🇺🇦💬Ukraine lost 31,000 military personnel in two years of military conflict with the Russian Federation, and Russia lost 180,000 military personnel – Zelensky
🐻 What do you need to mobilize 500 thousand for then, you absolute shameless liar?


@geopolitics_live:

🔹Russia as it currently exists does not suit the United States, US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland declared.
🔻"This is not the Russia that, frankly, we wanted. We wanted [to see] a partner that would be oriented towards the West, [that] would become European," Nuland complained.
🔻Earlier this month, Russian President Vladimir Putin in an interview with US journalist Tucker Carlson noted that Russia had gone out of its way to improve relations with the West, including by expressing readiness to join NATO as a gesture of openness to cooperation, yet the idea was rejected by US President Bill Clinton.
🔻Pepe commentary: "This thing actually runs the State Department. Not exactly the brightest bulb in the room, any room – and here totally giving away the neocon game. If you're not a pliable vessel [like Europe], we go after you. Call it "rules-based" geopolitics."

🔹 @sputnik_africa:
🔻🌐 BRICS countries develop a strategy to deal with risks to the global economy.
— These risks have arisen due to the large debts and budget deficits of Western countries, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said.
— After the inclusion of the new members, BRICS consists of 10 countries with a population of 3.6 billion people – almost half of the global total. These countries account for more than 40% of global oil production and about a quarter of global exports of goods.
🔻Avdeyevka has been fully cleared of Ukrainian troops, the head of the Donetsk People's Republic says

🔻The Danish police have followed their Swedish counterparts in announcing they are halting their investigation into the Nord Stream explosions. The police said the authorities had concluded that there was deliberate sabotage in the pipeline blast case.
🔻🇷🇺 The West is engaging in various actions that are detrimental to global food security, Russia's FM spokeswoman says. Maria Zakharova cited a few examples of such actions:
— Stock market speculation;
— Contamination of Ukrainian soil by British depleted uranium shells;
— Widespread use of GMOs on Ukrainian soil;
— Destruction of grain shipments.

She pointed to a recent incident where angry farmers in Poland, a NATO member country, reportedly dumped 160 tonnes of Ukrainian cereals on a railway track. In light of these factors, Zakharova suggested that the West is ill-equipped to lecture others on food security.


🔹🌐Russia presents intellectual alternative to Western neocolonialism
🔻The Multipolarity Forum has kicked off in Moscow, featuring delegates from Asia, Africa, Latin America, Europe, and North America.
🔻The forum will seek to provide blueprints for economic, technological, and cultural development in a post-Western hegemony world.
🔻"Even a few years ago, people only spoke about the interests of the G7 or other exclusive groups. Today we're slowly seeing this start to change." Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova has said.
🔻"Our formations are open for everybody, and are meant for free and sovereign people" Zakharova added.


🔹🌐"Africa and Latin America are no longer Western colonies, but emerging giants," Russian philosopher Dugin says

Other statements by Alexander Dugin at the Forum on Multipolarity in Moscow:
— Multipolarity is an alternative philosophy, based on the idea that the West is not the only civilization on this planet, but simply one of many;
— Multipolarity is not against the West, it is against the presumption of universality and exclusivity of the West;
— The Russian military operation in Donbass helped accelerate the end of the unipolar world. We have shown the whole world that we can stand up to the West;
— China is challenging Western hegemony economically, the Islamic world is challenging culturally and ideologically, Africa and Latin America are no longer Western colonies, but developing giants
— There is a battle going on between the globalist West and the traditionalist West. Ordinary Westerners are also victims of the globalist system.
🔹🌐 Western countries are opposed to the establishment of a new multipolar world because it threatens their exclusive benefits, activist says
— "The question is to think carefully about how to create a new world that will not fall into the same flaws as the world that was designed at the end of the Second World War," pan-African activist and businesswoman Nathalie Yamb told Sputnik Africa on the sidelines of the Multipolarity Forum in Moscow.
— Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has recently stressed that the formation of a new multipolar world is met with resistance from the West. |video|

Global South
Sun, 25 Feb 2024 17:27:19 +0000

3. Russia’s Victory in Ukraine resonates in Central Asia


Russian victory against NATO and personal approach won over the Taliban and Central Asian stans

By Amb. MK Bhadrakumar at Indian Punchline

Russia's stunning victory in the battle of Avdeevka and the rout of the Ukrainian military, boosts the credibility of Russia as provider of security for the Central Asian region. The point is not lost on the erudite Central Asian mind that Russia has single-handedly put the NATO on the back foot. 

This becomes a defining moment, as it complements the comfort level stemming out of the new normalcy in Afghanistan, thanks to Russia's effective diplomatic engagement with the Taliban.

Yet another vicious cycle of western propaganda is petering out  — predicated on the false assumptions that Russia's influence in Central Asia is in "decline" (Wilson Centre); that the Central Asian states are "are emerging from Russia's shadow and asserting their independence in ways not seen since the collapse of communism in 1991" (Financial Times); that in the wake of the war in Ukraine, Central Asian leaders "might well be now considering how long Putin will be able to remain in power in Russia" (Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty).

In reality, the economic performance of the region in 2023  registered an impressive GDP growth of 4.8%. And Russia contributed to this success story. The Ukraine war led to the vacation of western firms from the Russian market, which created new opportunities for regional states. At the same time, the conditions under sanctions prompted Russian firms and capital and Russian citizens to relocate their businesses to the Central Asian region.

Central Asian entrepreneurs haven't missed the lucrative opportunities to source Western goods and technology for the Russian market — walking a very tight rope by ensuring compliance with Western sanctions, while also nurturing their interdependence and integration with Russian markets. The recovery of the Russian economy and its 3.6% growth last year created business opportunities for Central Asian countries.

Moscow's policies aim at a 'Renaissance' in the region's relations with Russia. The new thinking in Moscow meant that Putin took a hands-on role to maintain a high momentum of contacts with the Central Asian leaderships at a personal level, making use of all available formats of interaction bilateral as well as regional. The Russian approach allowed space for the regional states to adopt a 'neutral' stance on the war.

A comprehension problem for outsiders is very often that the Central Asian attitudes are seldom in overt mode, and under specific circumstances (such as Ukraine war), they need to be discerned in terms of preferences. Thus, the political message out of the May 9 parade in Moscow last year when all the Central Asian presidents joined Putin at the ceremonies on the Red Square was a massive gesture of support for Russia — and for Putin personally.

Throughout 2023, the Central Asian states found themselves targeted in an unprecedented diplomatic effort by the West to uphold the sanctions against Russia. The US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and French President Emmanuel Macron visited the region. Two historic summits in the 'C5+1' format were hosted by President Joe Biden and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz respectively in Washington and Berlin.

But the western interlocutors refused to see the writing on the wall. Blinken's Kazakh counterpart told him that Astana 'does not feel any threats or risks from the Russian Federation.' The joint statements issued after the two 'C5+1' summits did not even mention Ukraine!

Putin's new thinking puts the great game on the back burner and instead prioritises the accretion of content in Russia's relations with the Central Asian states, especially in economic and humanitarian spheres. This approach has palpably dissipated the 'Big Brother' syndrome. Putin's meetings with his counterparts from Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan in Kazan  on Wednesday took place in a palpably relaxed atmosphere. (herehere and here)

Interestingly, Emomali Rahmon, Tajik president, wished not only Putin's success "in everything you do" but his "nerves of steel" as well. Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, Kazakh president underscored meaningfully that "under your (Putin's) distinguished leadership, Russia has achieved notable, impressive successes. In fact, your statements and actions are shaping the global agenda." Tokayev's remark is particularly noteworthy, as western analysts had spotted him as a potential mutineer against Putin in the steppes!

However, in the final analysis, if Russia's security relationship with the Central Asian region has transformed during the past couple of years, it is because Moscow's coordinated efforts to forge ties with the Taliban has gained traction lately. They helped diminish the threat perceptions regarding Afghanistan in the Central Asian region.

If the traditional pattern of addressing the threat perceptions was to resort to military means and by sequestering the region from Afghanistan, Russian diplomacy switched to a radically different approach by constructively engaging with the Taliban (although Taliban continues to be a proscribed organisation under Russian law) and strove to make the latter a stakeholder in building cooperative ties within a matrix of mutual interests. It paid off.

Moscow estimated that Taliban rule has stabilised the Afghan situation significantly and it is in Russian interests to help the Kabul administration to effectively counter the extremist elements in the country (especially the Islamic State, which is known to be a legacy of the US occupation of Afghanistan.) Russia leveraged its influence with the Central Asian states to ensure that western-backed anti-Taliban 'resistance' forces did not get sanctuaries. 

Of course, the strategic objective is that the western intelligence will not be able to manipulate free-wheeling Afghan elements to destabilise the Central Asian region or the Caucasus all over again.

Taliban has been most receptive to the Russian overtures aimed at strengthening the Afghan statehood. Recently, Taliban went to the extent of boycotting a UN-sponsored conference on Afghanistan on February 18-19 in Qatar, which was, in reality, an invidious attempt by the US to re-engage the Taliban on the pretext of promoting "intra-Afghan dialogue" (which essentially meant the return of the West's Afghan proxies living in exile in Europe and America.)

To be sure, the Taliban saw through the western game plan to rebuild their intelligence network in Afghanistan and countered it by setting conditions for its participation in the Doha conference, including that it be the sole representative of Afghanistan at the meeting. The Taliban also opposed the appointment of a UN special envoy to Afghanistan, whose main task would be to promote "intra-Afghan dialogue".

The Taliban's Foreign Ministry, in a statement ahead of the Doha meeting, accused the international community of "unilateral impositions, accusations, and pressurisation." The most interesting part of the pantomime playing out in Doha was that at the Taliban's request, the Russian delegation that participated in the Doha meeting refused to meet the so-called 'civil society representatives' from Afghanistan. It signalled that Russia has begun working with the Taliban as the de facto rulers of Afghanistan.

Indeed, the Central Asian states heartily welcome this brilliant diplomatic initiative by Russia to strengthen regional security and stability. The region's confidence level vis-a-vis the Taliban rulers has already reached a point that at the meeting with Putin in Kazan on Wednesday, Uzbek president Mirziyoyev raised the "important question" of Uzbekistan and Russia moving ahead with the construction of a new railway via Afghanistan connecting Central Asia with the adjacent regions and the world market.

Global South
Sun, 25 Feb 2024 12:49:03 +0000

4. Compradore ECOWAS Surrendered!


Say whatever you wanna say,we know those who are pulling the strings. Personally , I ain't got nothing to say! I have said enough. I rest my case! pic.twitter.com/f8jJH9sBQr

— Sy Marcus Herve Traore (@marcus_herve) February 24, 2024

Do you remember all the ⛈Thunder & Lightning ⚡starting with the overthrow of the French poodle Bazum of resource-rich Niger late last summer (rapidly forgotten after October 07)?? The roars of the French peacock and ECOWAS about the inadmissibility of another Junta coup overturning west-built "Freeum & Demokracy" in "our Africa?"

Well, after they were stared down as they wet themselves, and Frenchie's troops duly kicked out, and a political-economic-military merger made among the Junta Belt, and trade was rerouted elsewhere to friendly neighbors, and the trio left ECOWAS, the latter just rolled over onto its naked back and cried "Uncle!" btw, this is a preview of the best-case scenario for the combined West in 404 too.

💠 @Arab_Africa:
⭕ 🇳🇪 ECOWAS lifted sanctions on Niger. Local sources report this.
On February 24, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) announced the lifting of sanctions imposed on Niger, which include border closures, suspension of financial transactions, and a ban on the import of food and medicine.

💠 @Sputnik Africa:
⭕ ❗ECOWAS has decided to lift a number of sanctions against Niger, the head of the bloc's commission says

The measures include the closure of borders, ban on financial transactions, and the freezing of Niger's assets. The measures are lifted with immediate effect.

Earlier, ECOWAS Chairman and Nigerian President Bola Tinubu said it was important to "re-examine our current approach to the quest for constitutional order in our member states."

ECOWAS leaders met Saturday in Abuja to discuss the crisis in the region, which has recently seen military coups in Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. In response, ECOWAS imposed sanctions on Mali and Niger.

In January, the three countries declared their pullout from ECOWAS. They called the bloc a "threat" to its member states and criticized it for applying "illegal, illegitimate, inhumane" sanctions against them.
⭕ ❗ECOWAS has decided to lift financial and economic sanctions against Guinea, the head of the bloc's commission says

In 2022, the media reported that the ECOWAS countries, at an emergency summit held on the sidelines of the UNGA, decided to introduce "phased sanctions" against Guinea, which had underwent a coup d'etat in 2021.
⭕ 🇧🇫 The Vladimir Putin Sambo Tournament kicks off in Burkina Faso
🔹The martial art is becoming increasingly popular in this West African country. The Burkinabe Sambo Association, founded in September 2020, today has 18 clubs across the country.
🔹The Association plans to offer internships for Burkinabe sambo wrestlers in Russia, where athletes will be able to better understand and master this Olympic discipline.
🔹"They say that sambo is power, sambo is leadership. Vladimir Putin is an example of the power of leadership," the secretary general of the Burkina Faso Sambo Association
☝🏾 The Russian President has been a champion in this discipline, he has a great interest in martial arts and he is a "fervent amateur" of sport in general, Amidou Guindo recalled.

"His name must be a part of the event," he added.

👉🏾 About fifty athletes from Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, and Russia will compete for medals in several categories. |video|
LOL! Russians aren't the only ones who know how to impale the Yemeni dagger and rotate it with glee.

Global South
Sat, 24 Feb 2024 19:06:51 +0000

5. Two Years after 22.2.22, the West is Paralyzed


Two years after the start of the SMO, the West is totally paralyzed … The geopolitical moment: "You are irrelevant, and the Global South / Global Majority don't care"

by Pepe Escobar at the Strategic Culture Foundation.

Exactly two years ago this Saturday, on February 24, 2022, Vladimir Putin announced the launching – and described the objectives – of a Special Military Operation (SMO) in Ukraine. That was the inevitable follow-up to what happened three days before, on February 21 – exactly 8 years after Maidan 2014 in Kiev – when Putin officially recognized the self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Lugansk.

During this – pregnant with meaning – short space of only three days, everyone expected that the Russian Armed Forces would intervene, militarily, to end the massive bombing and shelling that had been going on for three weeks across the frontline – which even forced the Kremlin to evacuate populations at risk to Russia. Russian intel had conclusive proof that the NATO-backed Kiev forces were ready to execute an ethnic cleansing of Russophone Donbass.

February 24, 2022 was the day that changed 21st century geopolitics forever, in several complex ways. Above all, it marked the beginning of a vicious, all-out confrontation, "military-technical" as the Russians call it, between the Empire of Chaos, Lies and Plunder, its easily pliable NATOstan vassals, and Russia – with Ukraine as the battleground.

There is hardly any question Putin had calculated, before and during these three fateful days, that his decisions would unleash the unbounded fury of the collective West – complete with a tsunami of sanctions.

Ay, there's the rub; it's all about Sovereignty. And a true sovereign power simply cannot live under permanent threats. It's even feasible that Putin had wanted (italics mine) Russia to get sanctioned to death. After all, Russia is so naturally wealthy that without a serious challenge from abroad, the temptation is enormous to live off its rents while importing what it could easily produce.

Exceptionalists always gloated that Russia is "a gas station with nuclear weapons". That's ridiculous. Oil and gas, in Russia, account for roughly 15% of GDP, 30% of the government budget, and 45% of exports. Oil and gas add power to the Russian economy – not a drag. Putin shaking Russia's complacency generated a gas station producing everything it needs, complete with unrivalled nuclear and hypersonic weapons. Beat that.

Russian Winter Soldier

Ukraine has "never been less than a nation"

Xavier Moreau is a French politico-strategic analyst based in Russia for 24 years now. Graduated from the prestigious Saint-Cyr military academy and with a Sorbonne diploma, he hosts two shows on RT France.

His latest book, Ukraine: Pourquoi La Russie a Gagné ("Ukraine: Why Russia has Won"), just out, is an essential manual for European audiences on the realities of the war, not those childish fantasies concocted across the NATOstan sphere by instant "experts" with less than zero combined arms military experience.

Moreau makes it very clear what every impartial, realist analyst was aware of from the beginning: the devastating Russian military superiority, which would condition the endgame. The problem, still, is how this endgame – "demilitarization" and "denazification" of Ukraine, as established by Moscow – will be achieved.

What is already clear is that "demilitarization", of Ukraine and NATO, is a howling success that no new wunderwaffen – like F-16s – will be able to change.

Moreau perfectly understands how Ukraine, nearly 10 years after Maidan, is not a nation; "and has never been less than a nation". It's a territory where populations that everything separates are jumbled up. Moreover, it has been a – "grotesque" – failed state ever since its independence. Moreau spends several highly entertaining pages going through the corruption grotesquerie in Ukraine, under a regime that "gets its ideological references simultaneously via admirers of Stepan Bandera and Lady Gaga."

None of the above, of course, is reported by oligarch-controlled European mainstream media.

"Parade on Red Square in Moscow on November 7, 1941" — Konstantin Vasilyev

Watch out for Deng Xiao Putin

The book offers an extremely helpful analysis of those deranged Polish elites who bear "a heavy responsibility in the strategic catastrophe that awaits Washington and Brussels in Ukraine". The Poles actually believed that Russia would crumble from the inside, complete with a color revolution against Putin. That barely qualifies as Brzezinski on crack.

Moreau shows how 2022 was the year when NATOstan, especially the Anglo-Saxons – historically racist Russophobes –  were self-convinced thar Russia would fold because it is a "poor power". Obviously, none of these luminaries understood how Putin strengthened the Russian economy very much like Deng Xiaoping on the Chinese economy. This "self-intoxication", as Moreau qualifies it, did wonders for the Kremlin.

By now it's clear even for the deaf, dumb, and blind that the destruction of the European economy has been a massive tactic, historic victory for the Hegemon – as much as the blitzkrieg against the Russian economy has been an abysmal failure.

All of the above brings us to the meeting of G20 Foreign Ministers this week in Rio. That was not exactly a breakthrough. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made it very clear that the collective West at the G20 tried by all means to "Ukrainize" the agenda – with less than zero success. They were outnumbered and counterpunched by BRICS and Global South members.

At his press conference, Lavrov could not be more stark on the prospects of the war of the collective West against Russia. These are the highlights:

  • Western countries categorically do not want serious dialogue on Ukraine.
  • There were no serious proposals from the United States to begin contacts with the Russian Federation on strategic stability; trust cannot be restored now while Russia is declared an enemy.
  • There were no contacts on the sidelines of the G20 with either Blinken or the British Foreign Secretary.
  • The Russian Federation will respond to new Western sanctions with practical actions that relate to the self-sufficient development of the Russian economy.
  • If Europe tries to restore ties with the Russian Federation, making it dependent on their whims, then such contacts are not needed.

In a nutshell – diplomatically: you are irrelevant, and we don't care.

That was complementing Lavrov's intervention during the summit, which defined once again a clear, auspicious path towards multipolarity. Here are the highlights:

  • The forming of a fair multipolar world order without a definite center and periphery has become much more intensive in the past few years. Asian, African and Latin American countries are becoming important parts of the global economy. Not infrequently, they are setting the tone and the dynamics.
  • Many Western economies, especially in Europe, are actually stagnating against this background. These statistics are from Western-supervised institutions – the IMF, the World Bank and the OECD.
  • These institutions are becoming relics from the past. Western domination is already affecting their ability to meet the requirements of the times. Meanwhile, it is perfectly obvious today that the current problems of humanity can only be resolved through a concerted effort and with due consideration for the interests of the Global South and, generally, all global economic realities.
  • Institutions like the IMF, the World Bank, the EBRD, and the EIB are prioritizing Kiev's military and other needs. The West allocated over $250 billion to tide over its underling thus creating funding shortages in other parts of the world. Ukraine is taking up the bulk of the funds, relegating Africa and other regions of the Global South to rationing.
  • Countries that have discredited themselves by using unlawful acts ranging from unilateral sanctions and the seizure of sovereign assets and private property to blockades, embargoes, and discrimination against economic operators based on nationality to settle scores with their geopolitical opponents cannot be considered guarantors of financial stability.
  • Without a doubt, new institutions that focus on consensus and mutual benefit are needed to democratize the global economic governance system. Today, we are seeing positive dynamics for strengthening various alliances, including BRICS, the SCO, ASEAN, the African Union, LAS, CELAC, and the EAEU.
  • This year, Russia chairs BRICS, which saw several new members join it. We will do our best to reinforce the potential of this association and its ties with the G20.
  • Considering that 6 out of 15 UN Security Council members represent the Western bloc, we will support the expansion of this body solely through the accession of countries from Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

Call it the real state of things, geopolitically, two years after the start of the SMO.

Global South
Sat, 24 Feb 2024 17:17:42 +0000

6. The Axis of Asymmetry Rolls the ‘Rules-based Order’


World War III is here, playing out asymmetrically in military, financial, and institutional battlefields, and the fight is an existential one. The western Hegemon, in truth, is at war against international law, and only 'kinetic military action' can bring it to heel.

By Pepe Escobar at The Cradle.

The Axis of Asymmetry is in full swing. These are the state and non-state actors employing asymmetrical moves on the global chessboard to sideline the US-led western rules-based order. And its vanguard is the Yemeni resistance movement Ansarallah.

Ansarallah is absolutely relentless. They have downed a $30 million MQ-9 Reaper drone with just a $10k indigenous missile.

They are the first in the Global South ever to use anti-ship ballistic missiles against Israel-bound and/or -protecting commercial and US Navy ships.

For all practical purposes, Ansarallah is at war with no less than the US Navy.

Ansarallah has captured one of the US Navy's ultra-sophisticated autonomous underwater vehicles (AUV), the $1.3 million Remus 600, a torpedo-shaped underwater drone able to carry a massive payload of sensors.

Next stop: reverse engineering in Iran? The Global South eagerly awaits, ready to pay in currencies bypassing the US dollar.

All of the above – a maritime 21st-century remix of the Ho Chi Minh trail during the Vietnam War – spells out that the Hegemon may not even qualify as a paper tiger, but rather as a paper leech.

from the Resistance archives: Ho Chi Minh trail

Lula tells it as the Global South sees it

Into the Big Picture – linked to the relentless ongoing genocide perpetrated by Israel in Gaza – steps a true leader of the Global South, Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

Lula spoke in the name of Brazil, Latin America, Africa, BRICS 10, and the overwhelming majority of the Global South when he cut to the chase and defined the Gaza tragedy for what it is: a genocide. No wonder the Zionist tentacles across the Global North – plus its Global South vassals – went bonkers.

The genocidals in Tel Aviv declared Lula as persona non grata in Israel. Yet Lula did not assassinate 29,000+ Palestinians – the overwhelming majority of whom were women and children.

History will be unforgiving: it's the genocidals that will eventually be judged as personae non grata to all of humanity.

What Lula said represented BRICS 10 in action: this was obviously cleared before with Moscow, Beijing, Tehran, and, of course, the African Union. Lula spoke in Addis Ababa, and Ethiopia is now a BRICS 10 member.

The Brazilian president was extremely smart in timing his Gaza fact-check to be on the table during the G20 meeting of Foreign Ministers in Rio. Way beyond BRICS 10, what's happening in Gaza is a consensus among the non-Western G20 partners – who are actually a majority. No one, though, should expect any serious follow-up inside a divided G20. The heart of the matter remains in the facts on the ground.

Yemen's fight for "our people" in Gaza is a matter of humanistic, moral, and religious solidarity – these are foundational tenets of the rising eastern "civilizational" powers, both domestically and in international affairs. This convergence of principles has now created a direct link – extrapolating to the moral and spiritual spheres – between the Axis of Resistance in West Asia and the Slavic Axis of Resistance in Donbass.

Extreme attention should be paid to the timescale. The Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) forces and Russia have spent two hard-fought years in Novorossiya just to arrive at the stage where it becomes clear – based on the battlefield and cumulative facts on the ground – that "negotiations" mean only the terms of Kiev's surrender.

In contrast, the job of the Axis of Resistance in West Asia has not even started. It's fair to argue that its strength and full sovereign involvement have not been deployed yet (think Hezbollah and Iran).

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, with his proverbial subtlety, has hinted there's, in fact, nothing to negotiate on Palestine. And if there would be a return to any borders, these would be the 1948 borders. The Axis of Resistance understands that the whole Zionist Project is unlawful and immoral. But the question remains how to throw it, in practice, into the dustbin of History?

Possible – avowedly optimistic – scenarios ahead would include Hezbollah taking possession of the Galilee as a step toward the eventual retaking of the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. Yet the fact remains that even a united Palestine does not have the military capability to reconquer stolen Palestinian lands.

So the questions posed by the overwhelming majority of the Global South that stands with Lula may be: Who else, apart from Ansarallah, Hezbollah, Hashd al-Shaabi, will join the Axis of Asymmetry in the fight for Palestine? Who would be willing to come to the Holy Land and die? (After all, in Donbass, it's only Russians and Russophones who are dying for historically Russian lands)

And that brings us to the way towards the endgame: only a West Asian Special Military Operation (SMO), to the bitter end, will settle the Palestinian tragedy. A translation of what happens across the Slavic Axis of Resistance: "Those who refuse to negotiate with Lavrov, deal with Shoigu."

Operations Prosperous Genocide (USUK) & Viperous (EU)

The menu, the table, and the guests

That out-of-his-depth closet neocon, Secretary of State Tony Blinken, let the cat out of the bag when he actually defined his much cherished "rules-based international order": "If you're not at the table, you are on the menu."

Following his own hegemonic logic, it's clear that Russia and the US/NATO are on the table while Ukraine is on the menu. What about the Red Sea? The Houthis defending Palestine against US–UK–Israel are clearly at the table, while Western vassals supporting Israel in a maritime way are clearly on the menu.

And that's the problem: the Hegemon – or, in Chinese scholarly terminology, "the crusaders" – have lost the power to place the name cards at the table. The main reason for this authority collapse is the build-up of serious international meetings sponsored by the Russia–China strategic partnership during the past two years since the start of the SMO. It's all about sequential planning, with long-term targets clearly outlined.

Only civilizational states can do that – not plutocratic neoliberal casinos.

Negotiating with the Hegemon is impossible because the Hegemon itself prevents negotiations (see the serial blocking of ceasefire resolutions at the UN). Additionally, the Hegemon excels in instrumentalizing its client elites across the Global South via threats or kompromat: see the hysterical reaction of Brazilian mainstream media to Lula's verdict on Gaza.

What Russia is showing the Global South, two years after the start of the SMO, is that the only path to teach a lesson to the Hegemon has to be kinetic, or "military-technical."

The problem is no nation-state can compare to nuclear/hypersonic/military superpower Russia, in which 7.5 percent of the government's budget is dedicated to military production. Russia is and will remain on a permanent war footing until Hegemon's elites come to their senses – and that may never happen.

Meanwhile, West Asia's Axis of Resistance is watching and learning, day after day. It's always crucial to keep in mind that for all the resistance movements across the Global South – and that also includes, for instance, West Africans against French neo-colonialism – the geopolitical fault lines could not be starker.

It's a matter of the collective West versus Islam; the collective West versus Russia; and sooner rather than later, a substantial part of the West, even reluctantly, versus China.

The fact is we are already immersed in a World War that is both existential and civilizational. As we stand at the crossroads, there is a bifurcation: either escalation towards overt "kinetic military action," or a multiplication of Hybrid Wars across several latitudes.

So it's up to the Axis of Asymmetry, cool, calm, and collected, to forge the underground corridors, passages, and trails capable of undermining and subverting the US-led, unipolar, rules-based international order.

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